Vice President Kamala Harris is maintaining her lead over former President Donald Trump in Michigan, while the race remains closely contested in Pennsylvania, according to a recent poll conducted by UMass Lowell and YouGov.

In Michigan, the poll reveals Harris ahead with 48% of the vote compared to Trump’s 43%. However, Trump has gained an advantage among independent voters, securing 36% support against Harris’s 29%. Many voters in Michigan have expressed that they are firmly committed to their chosen candidate and are unlikely to change their minds ahead of the November election.

Michigan is recognized as a pivotal swing state that both parties are striving to win. Meanwhile, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, who is Harris’s running mate, will be campaigning in Ann Arbor this weekend, coinciding with the Michigan-Minnesota football game.

In Pennsylvania, the competition is even tighter. The same poll shows Harris with 48% support and Trump closely following at 46%. Only 4% of respondents remain undecided, with both Harris and Trump supporters indicating a strong likelihood of sticking with their choices as Election Day approaches.

According to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, both Michigan and Pennsylvania are classified as toss-up states. Harris is given a 64% chance of winning Michigan and a 53% chance in Pennsylvania. On a national scale, she holds a 55% probability of winning the presidency.

The polls were conducted between September 11 and 19, with the Michigan survey involving 650 likely voters and a margin of error of 4.37 percentage points, while the Pennsylvania poll included 800 likely voters and has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.